How to Calculate 401(k) Growth
At its simplest, 401(k) growth comes down to three things: how much money you put in, how long it stays invested, and what kind of return you earn. Those three variables interact through compound growth, which is why starting early matters so much more than most people realize.
The basic formula looks like this: Future Value = P(1 + r)^n + PMT × [((1 + r)^n − 1) / r], where P is your starting balance, r is your periodic rate of return, n is the number of periods, and PMT is your regular contribution amount. If math isn't your thing, that's fine. The key takeaway is that every dollar you contribute today multiplies significantly over a 20 or 30-year horizon.
Most calculators use an assumed annual return somewhere between 5% and 8% to model a diversified portfolio. You can run scenarios with different rates to get a realistic range rather than a single optimistic number. Stress-testing your projection with a conservative 5% return alongside a moderate 7% return is a smart habit.